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World EventsKXRECOGROCOpen

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
20¢
20% implied probability
NoBuy No
81¢
81% implied probability
Volume$18.3K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$8.2K
ExpiresJan 20, 2029
Yes Price$0.20
No Price$0.80
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 20%
81% No

Description

If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID5619
Platformkalshi
CategoryWorld Events
SubcategoryKXRECOGROC
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 20, 2029
Resolved—