World EventsKXPOLIOELIMOpen

Will there be a year with zero wild polio cases before 2030?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026

YesBuy Yes

7¢

7% implied probability

NoBuy No

93¢

93% implied probability

Volume$28.3K

Liquidity—

Open Interest$14.7K

ExpiresJan 1, 2030

Yes Price$0.07

No Price$0.93

ResolvedPending

OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 7%

93% No

If there is any year between 2024 and 2029 in which there are zero reported wild cases of poliovirus 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

ID5245

Platformkalshi

CategoryWorld Events

SubcategoryKXPOLIOELIM

StatusOpen

CreatedApr 17, 2026

ExpiresJan 1, 2030

Resolved—