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World EventsKXRECOGPERSONIRANOpen

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
15¢
15% implied probability
NoBuy No
85¢
85% implied probability
Volume$863.8K
Liquidity
Open Interest$250.1K
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Yes Price$0.15
No Price$0.85
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 15%
85% No

Description

If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID11475
Platformkalshi
CategoryWorld Events
SubcategoryKXRECOGPERSONIRAN
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Resolved