Start Trading Now

Track, analyse global markets and share your insight

or continue with e-mail and password
Don't have an account?

Supercharge Your Portfolio

Join the #1 Retail Trader Community

or continue with e-mail and password

By signing up, you agree to our Terms & Privacy Policy

Already have an account?
ESC
Browse
Trending
↑↓navigate↵selectesccloseCtrl+Ssearch
World Eventswill-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027Open

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
34¢
34% implied probability
NoBuy No
67¢
67% implied probability
Volume$17.62M
Liquidity$537.5K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.34
No Price$0.67
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 34%
67% No

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Market Details

ID12755
Platformpolymarket
CategoryWorld Events
Subcategorywill-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—