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World Eventswill-the-us-invade-greenland-in-2026Open

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
7¢
7% implied probability
NoBuy No
94¢
94% implied probability
Volume$1.34M
Liquidity$149.1K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.07
No Price$0.94
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 7%
94% No

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Details

ID24187
Platformpolymarket
CategoryWorld Events
Subcategorywill-the-us-invade-greenland-in-2026
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—