World Eventswill-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026Open
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
YesBuy Yes
23¢
23% implied probability
NoBuy No
77¢
77% implied probability
Volume$1.47M
Liquidity$101.8K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.23
No Price$0.77
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending
Probability Distribution
Yes 23%
77% No
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Market Details
ID17717
Platformpolymarket
CategoryWorld Events
Subcategorywill-the-us-invade-cuba-in-2026
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—