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World EventsKXBOUGAINVILLEINDOpen

Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
38¢
38% implied probability
NoBuy No
63¢
63% implied probability
Volume$5.3K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$3.0K
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Yes Price$0.38
No Price$0.63
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 38%
63% No

Description

If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID6462
Platformkalshi
CategoryWorld Events
SubcategoryKXBOUGAINVILLEIND
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Resolved—