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World Eventsukraine-joins-nato-before-2027Open

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
2¢
2% implied probability
NoBuy No
98¢
98% implied probability
Volume$1.13M
Liquidity$41.0K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.02
No Price$0.98
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 2%
98% No

Description

If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

Market Details

ID37542
Platformpolymarket
CategoryWorld Events
Subcategoryukraine-joins-nato-before-2027
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—