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World Eventsnew-covid-variant-of-concern-before-2027Open

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
17¢
17% implied probability
NoBuy No
84¢
84% implied probability
Volume$236.5K
Liquidity$11.9K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.17
No Price$0.83
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 17%
84% No

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.

Market Details

ID30722
Platformpolymarket
CategoryWorld Events
Subcategorynew-covid-variant-of-concern-before-2027
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—