World Eventsisrael-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027Open
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
YesBuy Yes
22¢
22% implied probability
NoBuy No
79¢
79% implied probability
Volume$139.9K
Liquidity$41.7K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.21
No Price$0.79
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending
Probability Distribution
Yes 22%
79% No
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Details
ID21767
Platformpolymarket
CategoryWorld Events
Subcategoryisrael-and-lebanon-normalize-relations-before-2027
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—