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World Eventsiran-nuke-before-2027Open

Iran Nuke before 2027?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
10¢
10% implied probability
NoBuy No
91¢
91% implied probability
Volume$563.2K
Liquidity$134.9K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.10
No Price$0.91
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 10%
91% No

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Market Details

ID18629
Platformpolymarket
CategoryWorld Events
Subcategoryiran-nuke-before-2027
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—