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tech-scienceKXCOLONIZEMARSOpen

Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
18¢
18% implied probability
NoBuy No
82¢
82% implied probability
Volume$18.9K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$9.0K
ExpiresJan 1, 2050
Yes Price$0.18
No Price$0.82
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 18%
82% No

Description

If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID4957
Platformkalshi
Categorytech-science
SubcategoryKXCOLONIZEMARS
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2050
Resolved—