Start Trading Now

Track, analyse global markets and share your insight

or continue with e-mail and password
Don't have an account?

Supercharge Your Portfolio

Join the #1 Retail Trader Community

or continue with e-mail and password

By signing up, you agree to our Terms & Privacy Policy

Already have an account?
ESC
Browse
Trending
↑↓navigate↵selectesccloseCtrl+Ssearch
tech-scienceKXQUANTUMOpen

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
7¢
7% implied probability
NoBuy No
93¢
93% implied probability
Volume$12.9K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$6.7K
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Yes Price$0.07
No Price$0.93
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 7%
93% No

Description

If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID68439
Platformkalshi
Categorytech-science
SubcategoryKXQUANTUM
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Resolved—