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Sportswill-lebron-james-retire-before-next-nba-seasonOpen

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
14¢
14% implied probability
NoBuy No
86¢
86% implied probability
Volume$35.8K
Liquidity$3.4K
Open Interest—
ExpiresOct 21, 2026
Yes Price$0.14
No Price$0.85
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 14%
86% No

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Details

ID32190
Platformpolymarket
CategorySports
Subcategorywill-lebron-james-retire-before-next-nba-season
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresOct 21, 2026
Resolved—