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Politicswill-venezuela-become-51st-stateOpen

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 27, 2026
YesBuy Yes
5¢
5% implied probability
NoBuy No
95¢
95% implied probability
Volume$137.7K
Liquidity$65.8K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.05
No Price$0.95
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 5%
95% No

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Details

ID90874
Platformpolymarket
CategoryPolitics
Subcategorywill-venezuela-become-51st-state
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 27, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—