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PoliticsKXUSMCAOpen

Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2027?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
20¢
20% implied probability
NoBuy No
80¢
80% implied probability
Volume$7.7K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$2.2K
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Yes Price$0.20
No Price$0.80
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 20%
80% No

Description

If the United States submits a notice of withdrawal from the USMCA before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID68271
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXUSMCA
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Resolved—