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Politicswill-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwellOpen

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 27, 2026
YesBuy Yes
10¢
10% implied probability
NoBuy No
91¢
91% implied probability
Volume$552.0K
Liquidity$18.6K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.10
No Price$0.91
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 10%
91% No

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Details

ID88720
Platformpolymarket
CategoryPolitics
Subcategorywill-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwell
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 27, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—