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PoliticsKXFTAPRCOpen

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
36¢
36% implied probability
NoBuy No
65¢
65% implied probability
Volume$57.3K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$12.1K
ExpiresJan 20, 2029
Yes Price$0.35
No Price$0.65
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 36%
65% No

Description

If a new free trade agreement with China has become law before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID5692
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXFTAPRC
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 20, 2029
Resolved—