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Politicswill-trump-be-impeached-before-his-term-endsOpen

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
64¢
64% implied probability
NoBuy No
37¢
37% implied probability
Volume$59.5K
Liquidity$37.5K
Open Interest—
ExpiresJan 20, 2029
Yes Price$0.64
No Price$0.36
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 64%
37% No

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Market Details

ID34514
Platformpolymarket
CategoryPolitics
Subcategorywill-trump-be-impeached-before-his-term-ends
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresJan 20, 2029
Resolved—