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PoliticsKXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIAOpen

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
31¢
31% implied probability
NoBuy No
69¢
69% implied probability
Volume$18.9K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$13.1K
ExpiresDec 31, 2035
Yes Price$0.31
No Price$0.69
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 31%
69% No

Description

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID5003
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2035
Resolved—