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PoliticsKXTAIWANLVL4Open

Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
19¢
19% implied probability
NoBuy No
82¢
82% implied probability
Volume$126.1K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$81.2K
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Yes Price$0.18
No Price$0.81
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 19%
82% No

Description

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID5220
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXTAIWANLVL4
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Resolved—