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PoliticsKXTXRSENRUNOFFMOVOpen

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 20% and 100%?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
7¢
7% implied probability
NoBuy No
93¢
93% implied probability
Volume$15.3K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$7.6K
ExpiresMay 26, 2027
Yes Price$0.07
No Price$0.93
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 7%
93% No

Description

If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 20% and 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID7503
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXTXRSENRUNOFFMOV
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresMay 26, 2027
Resolved—