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PoliticsKXIMFRECESSOpen

Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
31¢
31% implied probability
NoBuy No
70¢
70% implied probability
Volume$43.0K
Liquidity
Open Interest$15.7K
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Yes Price$0.30
No Price$0.69
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 31%
70% No

Description

If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID11805
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXIMFRECESS
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Resolved