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PoliticsKXHORMUZNORMOpen

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
54¢
54% implied probability
NoBuy No
47¢
47% implied probability
Volume$50.4K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$33.8K
ExpiresAug 1, 2026
Yes Price$0.54
No Price$0.46
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 54%
47% No

Description

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID41484
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXHORMUZNORM
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresAug 1, 2026
Resolved—