PoliticsKXMANCHINRUNOpen
Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?
YesBuy Yes
26¢
26% implied probability
NoBuy No
75¢
75% implied probability
Volume$574
Liquidity—
Open Interest$559
ExpiresMar 1, 2028
Yes Price$0.26
No Price$0.74
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending
Probability Distribution
Yes 26%
75% No
Description
If Joe Manchin has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market Details
ID6281
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXMANCHINRUN
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresMar 1, 2028
Resolved—