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PoliticsKXEUREFOpen

Will Italy hold a referendum on leaving the EU?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
3¢
3% implied probability
NoBuy No
97¢
97% implied probability
Volume$1.2K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$200
ExpiresJan 1, 2030
Yes Price$0.03
No Price$0.97
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 3%
97% No

Description

If Italy holds a national referendum on leaving the European Union before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID5326
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXEUREF
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2030
Resolved—