PoliticsKXIAPRIMARYOpen
Will David Dawson be the Democratic nominee for IA-04?
YesBuy Yes
85¢
85% implied probability
NoBuy No
16¢
16% implied probability
Volume—
Liquidity—
Open Interest—
ExpiresNov 3, 2027
Yes Price$0.84
No Price$0.15
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending
Probability Distribution
Yes 85%
16% No
Description
If David Dawson wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 IA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market Details
ID69650
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXIAPRIMARY
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 27, 2026
ExpiresNov 3, 2027
Resolved—