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Politicswill-alberta-vote-for-independence-in-2026Open

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
15¢
15% implied probability
NoBuy No
85¢
85% implied probability
Volume$56.5K
Liquidity$32.6K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.15
No Price$0.85
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 15%
85% No

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Details

ID34015
Platformpolymarket
CategoryPolitics
Subcategorywill-alberta-vote-for-independence-in-2026
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—