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PoliticsKXCASECESSIONOpen

Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
28¢
28% implied probability
NoBuy No
73¢
73% implied probability
Volume$1.6K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$445
ExpiresDec 22, 2029
Yes Price$0.28
No Price$0.72
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 28%
73% No

Description

If there is a ballot intiative on Californian secession before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID5347
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXCASECESSION
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresDec 22, 2029
Resolved—