Start Trading Now

Track, analyse global markets and share your insight

or continue with e-mail and password
Don't have an account?

Supercharge Your Portfolio

Join the #1 Retail Trader Community

or continue with e-mail and password

By signing up, you agree to our Terms & Privacy Policy

Already have an account?
ESC
Browse
Trending
↑↓navigate↵selectesccloseCtrl+Ssearch
PoliticsKXGTEMPOpen

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
37¢
37% implied probability
NoBuy No
63¢
63% implied probability
Volume$7.1K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$2.1K
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Yes Price$0.37
No Price$0.63
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 37%
63% No

Description

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID11863
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXGTEMP
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Resolved—