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PoliticsKXCA01SOpen

Who will win the CA-01 special election?: :: Democrat

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
18¢
18% implied probability
NoBuy No
83¢
83% implied probability
Volume$1.9K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$1.9K
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Yes Price$0.17
No Price$0.82
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 18%
83% No

Description

If Mike McGuire wins the CA-01 Special Election (including any runoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID68216
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXCA01S
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Resolved—