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PoliticsKXMUSKPRIMARYOpen

Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
8¢
8% implied probability
NoBuy No
92¢
92% implied probability
Volume$8.3K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$1.6K
ExpiresFeb 1, 2027
Yes Price$0.08
No Price$0.92
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 8%
92% No

Description

If Elon Musk backs a challenger to Mike Johnson before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID8422
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXMUSKPRIMARY
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresFeb 1, 2027
Resolved—