PoliticsKXCA22PRIMARYOpen
Who will advance from the CA-22 primary?: :: Incumbent, Republican
YesBuy Yes
94¢
94% implied probability
NoBuy No
6¢
6% implied probability
Volume$4.5K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$2.4K
ExpiresNov 3, 2026
Yes Price$0.94
No Price$0.06
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending
Probability Distribution
Yes 94%
6% No
Description
If David Valadao advances to the general election in CA-22 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market Details
ID42410
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXCA22PRIMARY
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresNov 3, 2026
Resolved—