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PoliticsKXCA04PRIMARYOpen

Who will advance from the 2026 CA-04 primary?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
98¢
98% implied probability
NoBuy No
2¢
2% implied probability
Volume$9.8K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$3.4K
ExpiresNov 3, 2027
Yes Price$0.98
No Price$0.02
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 98%
2% No

Description

If Mike Thompson advances in the 2026 CA-04 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID30577
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXCA04PRIMARY
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresNov 3, 2027
Resolved—