PoliticsKXFIRSTPRIMARYDOpen

What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026

YesBuy Yes

45¢

45% implied probability

NoBuy No

56¢

56% implied probability

Volume$4.3K

Liquidity—

Open Interest$1.5K

ExpiresNov 7, 2028

Yes Price$0.45

No Price$0.56

ResolvedPending

OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 45%

56% No

If New Hampshire is the first Democratic primary or caucus during the 2028 presidential cycle, then the market resolves to Yes.

ID6105

Platformkalshi

CategoryPolitics

SubcategoryKXFIRSTPRIMARYD

StatusOpen

CreatedApr 17, 2026

ExpiresNov 7, 2028

Resolved—