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Politicssupreme-court-vacancy-in-2026Open

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
43¢
43% implied probability
NoBuy No
57¢
57% implied probability
Volume$4.3K
Liquidity$16.0K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.42
No Price$0.57
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 43%
57% No

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Details

ID34314
Platformpolymarket
CategoryPolitics
Subcategorysupreme-court-vacancy-in-2026
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—