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PoliticsKXSCOTREFOpen

Scottish independence referendum called in 2026?: Before 2027

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
4¢
4% implied probability
NoBuy No
96¢
96% implied probability
Volume$19.1K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$8.2K
ExpiresJan 2, 2027
Yes Price$0.04
No Price$0.96
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 4%
96% No

Description

If a new Scottish referendum sanctioned by the UK government has been announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID10874
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryKXSCOTREF
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresJan 2, 2027
Resolved—