PoliticsHOUSENY4Open

NY-04 House winner?: :: Current incumbent: Laura Gillen

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026

YesBuy Yes

73¢

73% implied probability

NoBuy No

28¢

28% implied probability

Volume$1.9K

Liquidity—

Open Interest$1.8K

ExpiresNov 3, 2027

Yes Price$0.72

No Price$0.28

ResolvedPending

OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 73%

28% No

If the House member sworn in for NY-4 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.

ID10230

Platformkalshi

CategoryPolitics

SubcategoryHOUSENY4

StatusOpen

CreatedApr 17, 2026

ExpiresNov 3, 2027

Resolved—