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Politicsmaduro-guilty-of-all-countsOpen

Maduro guilty of all counts?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 27, 2026
YesBuy Yes
20¢
20% implied probability
NoBuy No
81¢
81% implied probability
Volume$102.4K
Liquidity$35.2K
Open Interest
ExpiresDec 31, 2027
Yes Price$0.20
No Price$0.81
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 20%
81% No

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl). If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count. The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Details

ID93269
Platformpolymarket
CategoryPolitics
Subcategorymaduro-guilty-of-all-counts
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 27, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2027
Resolved