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Politicsinsurrection-act-invoked-byOpen

Insurrection Act invoked by...?: June 30

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
10¢
10% implied probability
NoBuy No
90¢
90% implied probability
Volume$68.3K
Liquidity$25.3K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.10
No Price$0.90
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 10%
90% No

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Details

ID39636
Platformpolymarket
CategoryPolitics
Subcategoryinsurrection-act-invoked-by
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—