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Politicshow-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026-823Open

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?: <200k

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
10¢
10% implied probability
NoBuy No
90¢
90% implied probability
Volume$6.7K
Liquidity$16.2K
Open Interest
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.10
No Price$0.90
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 10%
90% No

Description

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Market Details

ID28532
Platformpolymarket
CategoryPolitics
Subcategoryhow-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2026-823
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved