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Politicsfriedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027Open

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 27, 2026
YesBuy Yes
14¢
14% implied probability
NoBuy No
86¢
86% implied probability
Volume$82.9K
Liquidity$34.2K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.14
No Price$0.85
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 14%
86% No

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Market Details

ID91442
Platformpolymarket
CategoryPolitics
Subcategoryfriedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 27, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—