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PoliticsSENATECAOpen

California Senate winner? (2028): :: Current incumbent: Alex Padilla

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
91¢
91% implied probability
NoBuy No
10¢
10% implied probability
Volume$194
Liquidity—
Open Interest$151
ExpiresNov 7, 2029
Yes Price$0.91
No Price$0.10
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 91%
10% No

Description

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of California for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID5800
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategorySENATECA
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresNov 7, 2029
Resolved—