PoliticsHOUSECA45Open
CA-45 House winner?: :: Current incumbent: Derek Tran
YesBuy Yes
85¢
85% implied probability
NoBuy No
16¢
16% implied probability
Volume$3.2K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$2.4K
ExpiresNov 3, 2027
Yes Price$0.84
No Price$0.16
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending
Probability Distribution
Yes 85%
16% No
Description
If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market Details
ID10302
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryHOUSECA45
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresNov 3, 2027
Resolved—