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PoliticsHOUSECA40Open

CA-40 House winner?: ::

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
25¢
25% implied probability
NoBuy No
76¢
76% implied probability
Volume$5.8K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$2.0K
ExpiresNov 3, 2027
Yes Price$0.24
No Price$0.76
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 25%
76% No

Description

If the House member sworn in for CA-40 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID10306
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryHOUSECA40
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresNov 3, 2027
Resolved—