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PoliticsHOUSECA21Open

CA-21 House winner?: :: Current incumbent: Jim Costa

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
84¢
84% implied probability
NoBuy No
16¢
16% implied probability
Volume$1.9K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$1.6K
ExpiresNov 3, 2027
Yes Price$0.83
No Price$0.16
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 84%
16% No

Description

If the House member sworn in for CA-21 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID10314
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategoryHOUSECA21
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresNov 3, 2027
Resolved—