PoliticsSENATEAZOpen
Arizona Senate winner? (2028): :: Current incumbent: Mark Kelly
YesBuy Yes
74¢
74% implied probability
NoBuy No
27¢
27% implied probability
Volume$8.3K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$4.2K
ExpiresNov 7, 2029
Yes Price$0.73
No Price$0.27
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending
Probability Distribution
Yes 74%
27% No
Description
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Arizona for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market Details
ID5802
Platformkalshi
CategoryPolitics
SubcategorySENATEAZ
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresNov 7, 2029
Resolved—