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miscKXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBOOpen

Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 17, 2026
YesBuy Yes
8¢
8% implied probability
NoBuy No
92¢
92% implied probability
Volume$418.7K
Liquidity—
Open Interest$175.3K
ExpiresDec 31, 2027
Yes Price$0.08
No Price$0.92
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 8%
92% No

Description

If **ALL** of the following occur: 1. Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND 2. Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND 3. U.S. GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND 4. The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026 then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID6676
Platformkalshi
Categorymisc
SubcategoryKXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 17, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2027
Resolved—