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financeKXDEFAULTOpen

Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2026?

kalshiView on kalshiAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
3¢
3% implied probability
NoBuy No
97¢
97% implied probability
Volume$844
Liquidity—
Open Interest$499
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Yes Price$0.03
No Price$0.97
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 3%
97% No

Description

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Market Details

ID18944
Platformkalshi
Categoryfinance
SubcategoryKXDEFAULT
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresJan 1, 2027
Resolved—