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financewill-north-korea-invade-south-korea-before-2027Open

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

polymarketView on polymarketAdded Apr 18, 2026
YesBuy Yes
7¢
7% implied probability
NoBuy No
93¢
93% implied probability
Volume$57.2K
Liquidity$19.8K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.07
No Price$0.93
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending

Probability Distribution

Yes 7%
93% No

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Details

ID29216
Platformpolymarket
Categoryfinance
Subcategorywill-north-korea-invade-south-korea-before-2027
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—